Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.603028 0.757090 0.922421 1.111114 1.318731 1.538630 1.787635
2025-02-16 0.411138 0.624704 0.874667 1.179687 1.534009 1.926072 2.386651
2025-02-23 0.292862 0.525690 0.818008 1.192292 1.642875 2.155021 2.769647
2025-03-02 0.184260 0.411506 0.722070 1.140977 1.663704 2.273247 3.019187
2025-03-09 0.105820 0.314386 0.629327 1.077744 1.656950 2.348324 3.209082
2025-03-16 0.059540 0.249443 0.568123 1.045179 1.679983 2.452434 3.427405
2025-03-23 0.037854 0.219703 0.552667 1.069760 1.772134 2.637842 3.740320
2025-03-30 0.019922 0.186074 0.524959 1.073023 1.833682 2.783550 4.004042
2025-04-06 0.006748 0.148355 0.483049 1.050945 1.858340 2.880926 4.207357
2025-04-13 0.003123 0.139107 0.489668 1.099494 1.976914 3.095813 4.553735
2025-04-20 0.001027 0.130869 0.496521 1.147526 2.094343 3.309103 4.898237
2025-04-27 0.000181 0.125902 0.508716 1.203305 2.222206 3.535703 5.259331
2025-05-04 0.000011 0.128684 0.539780 1.293948 2.405677 3.842717 5.731755
2025-05-11 NaN 0.121505 0.549343 1.351337 2.544721 4.095253 6.140206
2025-05-18 NaN 0.105227 0.535700 1.369539 2.627575 4.274313 6.456448
2025-05-25 NaN 0.074120 0.479063 1.312983 2.602214 4.311538 6.594870
2025-06-01 NaN 0.047048 0.419531 1.245074 2.556354 4.318954 6.693440
2025-06-08 NaN 0.031003 0.381490 1.209784 2.554511 4.381615 6.859070
2025-06-15 NaN 0.025897 0.378095 1.236382 2.643688 4.564981 7.177616
2025-06-22 NaN 0.018928 0.363057 1.239901 2.697639 4.700886 7.435603
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010963 0.334993 1.216038 2.708852 4.778511 7.618607
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010350 0.345919 1.268493 2.836543 5.013614 8.003596
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009734 0.356509 1.320311 2.963383 5.247766 8.387652